Bullwhip Effect in the Supply Chain: A Danger

Authors

  •   Debomalya Ghose Assistant Professor, Department of Business Administration, Assam University, Silchar-788011, Assam

Keywords:

Supply Chain, Demand Fluctuation, Bullwhip Effect, Production Rate Variability, Stock Level Variability

Abstract

We live in the “Information ageâ€. Data Warehouses, Web services, XML, Wireless, the Internet and Portals are just a few technologies dominating the business page of the daily newspaper. Distorted information from one end of a supply chain to the other can lead to tremendous inefficiencies: excessive investment in inventory, poor customer service, lost revenues, misguided capacity plans, ineffective transportation, and missed production schedule. And thus causes the Bull Whip Effect. The bullwhip effect is the magnification of demand fluctuations, not the magnification of demand. The bullwhip effect is evident In a supply chain when demand increases and decreases. The effect is that these increases and decreases are exaggerated up the supply chain. The essence of the bullwhip effect is that orders to suppliers tend to have larger variance than sales to the buyer. The more chains in the supply chain the more complex this issue becomes. This distortion of demand is amplified the farther demand is passed up the supply chain. Here in this paper it is explained with the help of some cases and it has shown that how the information causes the variability on the order.

Downloads

Published

2011-01-17

Issue

Section

Research and Academic Papers

References

Anderson, E. G.; Fine, C. H.; Parker, G. G. (2000). Upstream Volatility in the Supply Chain: The Machine Tool Industry as a Case Study, Production and Operations Management, Vol. 9, No. 3,239-261.

Baganha, P. M.; Cohen, A. M. (1998). The stabilizing effect of inventory in supply chains. Operations Research, Vol. 46, No. 3S, 72-83.

Carlsson, C.; Fuller, R. (2000). Soft computing and the bullwhip effect. Economics and Complexity, Vol. 2, No. 3, 1-26.

Chase, R. B.; Aquilano, N. J.; Jacobs, F. R. (2009).Operations management for competitive advantage, McGraw-Hill/Irwin, Boston.

Dejonckheere J., Disney S.M., Lambrecht M.R., Towill D.R., 2004, The impact of information enrichment on the Bullwhip effect in supply chains: A control engineering perspective, European Journal of Operation research, Vol. 153, pp. 727-750.

Donovan, R. M. (2002). Supply Chain Management: Cracking the Bullwhip Effect, Available from: http://www.edm1.com/donovan.pdf. Accessed: 200706-10

Fogarty, D. W.; Blackstone, J. H.; Hoffmann, T. R. (1991). Production & inventory management, SouthWestern, Cincinnati.

Gilbert, S. M.; Ballou, R. H. (1999). Supply chain benefits from advanced customer commitments. Journal of Operations Management, Vol. 18, No. 1,6173

Li, J.; Shaw, M. J.; Sikora, R. T. (2001). The effects of information sharing strategies on supply chain performance. Technical Report.

Lin, C.; Lin, Y.-T. (2006). Mitigating the bullwhip effect by reducing demand variance in the supply chain. International Journal of Advanced Manufacturing Technology, Vol. 28,328-336

Matters, R. (1997). Quantifying the Bullwhip Effect in supply chains. Journal of Operations Management, Vol. 15, No. 2,89-100

Rudberg, M.; Olhager, J. (2003). Manufacturing networks and supply chains: An operations strategy perspective. Omega, Vol. 31, No. 1,29-39

Simchi-Levi, D.; Kaminsky, R; Simchi-Levi, E. (2009). Designing and managing the supply chain, McGrawHill, New York

Slack, N.; Chambers, S.; Johnston, R. (2001). Operations Management, Prentice Hall, Harlow Sterman, J. (1989). Modeling managerial behaviour: misperceptions of feedback in a dynamic decision making experiment. Management Science, Vol. 35, No. 3,321-339.

Vollmann, T. E.; Berry, W. L.; Whybark, D. C.; Jacobs, F. R. (2005). Manufacturing planning and control for supply chain management, McGraw-Hill/Irwin, Boston

Wang J., Jia J., Takahashi K., 2005, A study on the impact of uncertain factors on information distortion in supply chains. Production Planning & Control, Vol. 16, No. 1, pp 2-11.